Importers of HS 7407.10 (bars and rods) from Brazil actually paid 51% on the taxed portion of the value in 2026-06 — 51% across everything shipped, taxed or not. Measured from official duty receipts, not the rulebook: the statutory MFN base rate on this code is 1%. Over the window the rate on the taxed portion moved 1% → 51%, with the largest single step +37pp in 2025-08. Measured from official US duty receipts · as-of 2026-06 · confidence: measured, not modelled. The HTS base rate is 1% — importers actually paid 51%, so the trade-war overlay added 50 pts, measured at the border (not a summed rulebook estimate). Reproduce exactly: tariff_story(hs: "7407.10", origin: "Brazil") · see it at trimtabist.com/tariffs
HS 7407.10. The schedule base rate is 1%; importers from Brazil actually paid 51% on the dutiable value in 2026-06 — the trade-war overlay added 50 points, measured at the border. Measured, not modelled.
Over the window the collected rate moved 1% (2023-07) → 51% (2026-06), largest single step +37pp in 2025-08.
Brazil's lower duty (51% vs 77.44%) lets it price up to 17.5% above China at the factory and still match on duty-inclusive customs cost. But on the LATEST measured prices, Brazil actually lands cheaper — $20.23/kg vs $42.41/kg (duty in, freight out).
8 Chapter-99 measures name Brazil; scope mapping is partial (several annexes are PDFs) — absence never means exemption. They do not sum, and some are product-specific — the collected rate above is the composed truth.
All goods from Brazil · the whole tariff ledger · reproduce: tariff_story(hs: "7407.10", origin: "Brazil") via /connect. Not customs or legal advice.