The independent observatory for US trade — ship movements,
customs records and policy events, measured and tested.
What Italy actually pays on rifle stocks
Importers of HS 9305.20 (rifle stocks) from Italy actually paid 11.85% on the taxed portion of the value in 2026-06 — 11.85% across everything shipped, taxed or not. Measured from official duty receipts, not the rulebook: the statutory MFN base rate on this code is 3.5%. Over the window the rate on the taxed portion moved 3.5% → 11.85%, with the largest single step +5pp in 2025-05. Measured from official US duty receipts · as-of 2026-06 · confidence: measured, not modelled. The HTS base rate is 3.5% — importers actually paid 11.85%, so the trade-war overlay added 8.3 pts, measured at the border (not a summed rulebook estimate). Reproduce exactly: tariff_story(hs: "9305.20", origin: "Italy") · see it at trimtabist.com/tariffs
HS 9305.20. The schedule base rate is
3.5%; importers from Italy actually paid 11.85% on the
dutiable value in 2026-06 — the trade-war overlay added 8.3 points, measured at the border. Measured, not modelled.
Over the window the collected rate moved 3.5% (2023-07) → 11.85% (2026-06), largest single step +5pp in 2025-05.
Landed cost vs the benchmark
Italy's lower duty (11.85% vs 17.5%) lets it price up to 5.1% above China at the factory and still match on duty-inclusive customs cost. But on the LATEST measured prices, China actually lands cheaper — $10.88/kg vs $102.81/kg (duty in, freight out).
The trade-war measures that name Italy or this sector
15 Chapter-99 measures name Italy; scope mapping is partial (several annexes are PDFs) — absence never means exemption. They do not sum, and some are product-specific — the collected rate above is the composed truth.
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.10 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.13 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.16 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.19 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.22 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.25 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.28 · Federal Register citation+25%
Notice of Determination and Action Pursuant to Section 301: Enforcement of U.S. WTO Rights in Large Civil Airc measure 9903.89.31 · Federal Register citation+25%
In print: “What Italy actually pays on rifle stocks (HS 9305.20)” —
Trimtab US Trade Ledger (TT-010 Duty receipts), US Census imports-for-consumption records — trimtabist.com/tariff/930520/italy