The independent observatory for US trade — ship movements,
customs records and policy events, measured and tested.
What Japan actually pays on machining centers
Importers of HS 8457.10 (machining centers) from Japan actually paid 14% on the taxed portion of the value in 2026-06 — 13.14% across everything shipped, taxed or not. Measured from official duty receipts, not the rulebook: the statutory MFN base rate on this code is 4.2%. Over the window the rate on the taxed portion moved 4.2% → 14%, with the largest single step +8.8pp in 2025-10. Measured from official US duty receipts · as-of 2026-06 · confidence: measured, not modelled. The HTS base rate is 4.2% — importers actually paid 14%, so the trade-war overlay added 9.8 pts, measured at the border (not a summed rulebook estimate). Reproduce exactly: tariff_story(hs: "8457.10", origin: "Japan") · see it at trimtabist.com/tariffs
HS 8457.10. The schedule base rate is
4.2%; importers from Japan actually paid 14% on the
dutiable value in 2026-06 — the trade-war overlay added 9.8 points, measured at the border. Measured, not modelled.
Over the window the collected rate moved 4.2% (2023-07) → 14% (2026-06), largest single step +8.8pp in 2025-10.
The trade-war measures that name Japan or this sector
12 Chapter-99 measures name Japan; scope mapping is partial (several annexes are PDFs) — absence never means exemption. They do not sum, and some are product-specific — the collected rate above is the composed truth.
Implementing Certain Tariff-Related Elements of the United States-Japan Agreement measure 9903.02.30 · Federal Register citation+15%
9903.02.31 measure 9903.02.31+15%
Adoption and Procedures of the Section 232 Steel and Aluminum Tariff Inclusions Process measure 9903.02.71 · Federal Register citation+15%
Implementing Certain Tariff-Related Elements of the United States-Japan Agreement measure 9903.02.73 · Federal Register citation+15%
9903.04.62 measure 9903.04.62+15%
Implementing Certain Tariff-Related Elements of the U.S.-Korea Strategic Trade and Investment Deal measure 9903.76.21 · Federal Register citation+15%
Implementing Certain Tariff-Related Elements of the U.S.-Korea Strategic Trade and Investment Deal measure 9903.76.22 · Federal Register citation+15%
Implementing Certain Tariff-Related Elements of the United States-Japan Agreement measure 9903.94.41 · Federal Register citation+15%
In print: “What Japan actually pays on machining centers (HS 8457.10)” —
Trimtab US Trade Ledger (TT-010 Duty receipts), US Census imports-for-consumption records — trimtabist.com/tariff/845710/japan