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The independent observatory for US trade — ship movements, customs records and policy events, measured and tested.

What Mexico actually pays on HS 8409.91

Importers of HS 8409.91 (other) from Mexico actually paid 8.16% on the taxed portion of the value in 2026-06 — 0.85% across everything shipped, taxed or not. Measured from official duty receipts, not the rulebook: the statutory MFN base rate on this code is 2.5%. Over the window the rate on the taxed portion moved 2.5% → 8.16%, with the largest single step +20.9pp in 2025-03. Measured from official US duty receipts · as-of 2026-06 · confidence: measured, not modelled. The HTS base rate is 2.5% — importers actually paid 8.16%, so the trade-war overlay added 5.7 pts, measured at the border (not a summed rulebook estimate). Reproduce exactly: tariff_story(hs: "8409.91", origin: "Mexico") · see it at trimtabist.com/tariffs

Mexico paid 8.16% on HS 8409.91 — the schedule says 2.5% Collected rate on the taxed value — measured from US duty receipts, not the rulebook 8.16% HTS base 2.5% — the rulebook floor2023-072024-122026-06 Measured · as-of 2026-06 · Trimtab US Tariffs & Trade Ledger · trimtabist.com

HS 8409.91. The schedule base rate is 2.5%; importers from Mexico actually paid 8.16% on the dutiable value in 2026-06 — the trade-war overlay added 5.7 points, measured at the border. Measured, not modelled.

Over the window the collected rate moved 2.5% (2023-07) → 8.16% (2026-06), largest single step +20.9pp in 2025-03.

Landed cost vs the benchmark

Mexico's lower duty (0.85% vs 33.56%) lets it price up to 32.4% above China at the factory and still match on duty-inclusive customs cost. But on the LATEST measured prices, China actually lands cheaper — $9.76/kg vs $10.7/kg (duty in, freight out).

The trade-war measures that name Mexico or this sector

5 Chapter-99 measures name Mexico; scope mapping is partial (several annexes are PDFs) — absence never means exemption. They do not sum, and some are product-specific — the collected rate above is the composed truth.

Notice of Implementation of Additional Duties on Products of Canada Pursuant to the President's Executive Orde
measure 9903.01.10 · Federal Register citation
+35%
Notice of Implementation of Additional Duties on Products of Mexico Pursuant to the President's Executive Orde
measure 9903.01.01 · Federal Register citation
+25%
9903.05.56
measure 9903.05.56
+12.5%
Amendment to Notice of Implementation of Additional Duties on Products of Mexico Pursuant to the President's…
measure 9903.01.05 · Federal Register citation
+10%
9903.05.55
measure 9903.05.55
+10%

Go deeper

All goods from Mexico · the whole tariff ledger · 15 CBP rulings cite this code · reproduce: tariff_story(hs: "8409.91", origin: "Mexico") via /connect. Not customs or legal advice.

In print: “What Mexico actually pays on HS 8409.91 (HS 8409.91)” — Trimtab US Trade Ledger (TT-010 Duty receipts), US Census imports-for-consumption records — trimtabist.com/tariff/840991/mexico